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With very different aims for the remainder of the season, there’s a lot to consider in Aston Villa vs Brentford predictions. The pre-match odds make Villa the heavy match-winner favourite. Read below for our Villa vs Brentford tips and analysis.
Aston Villa vs Brentford Predictions & Tips
Aston Villa to win 3-1 – 11.75 with Bet9ja Under 9.5 corners – 2.21 with Bet9ja Aston Villa/Aston Villa – 2.38 with Bet9ja Over 3.5 total goals – 2.16 with Bet9ja Aston Villa over 2.5 goals – 2.52 with Bet9ja Brentford to have the most corners – 3.45 with Bet9ja First half to be highest scoring half – 2.94 with Bet9jaAston Villa should be expected to win against Brentford by a scoreline of 3-1.
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Villains Backed For 3-1 Win
Liverpool are the only team with more home wins than Aston Villa this season. Brentford’s 11 road losses is the highest mark in the Premier League. The stats don’t make for happy reading for the visitors, particularly when you add in their head-to-head loss to Villa back in December.
Just four teams have generated more expected goals at home than Aston Villa. Unai Emery’s team beat Wolves in their last home match and fired four goals past Ajax in the Conference League last month.
With 10 losses in their last 11 away matches across all competitions, this is going to be a difficult couple of hours for Brentford. They have leaked goals on the road, and that trend should continue against a talented Villa attack.
Bet 1: Aston Villa to win 3-1 @ 11.75 Bet9ja
Low Corner Count
Both of these teams are below the league average in total corners per match. Brentford average the fifth-fewest corners in their favour this season, while Aston Villa are one of the best teams at preventing opposition corner kicks.
There was a total of 19 corners when these teams last met, which was out of the ordinary for both. Villa have seen nine or fewer total corners in two of their last three home league matches. The only time they went over this line, there was a total of 10 corners.
Before their barrage against Manchester United at the weekend, Brentford had been on a streak of low-corner tallies. They will spend much of this match camped in their half, and might not get to three corners. All we need is Villa to hang around their average and we can win this under wager.
Bet 2: Under 9.5 corners @ 2.21 Bet9ja
Villa Convert First-Half Advantage
Aston Villa have been winning at half-time in 72% of their league wins this season. At odds of just 1.63 to win the match, the 2.38 price on Villa to winning at half-time and full-time is the better option.
Brentford have been trailing at half-time in two of their last four away losses. Villa have made it a habit to start quickly at home. They should be able to get off to a quick start, even after playing Manchester City on Wednesday night.
This looks like it should be a comfortable home win, and we’re backing Villa to build a one or two-goal advantage in the first 45 minutes. With bigger matches to come, we can’t see Brentford fighting back in the second half.
Bet 3: Aston Villa/Aston Villa @ 2.38 Bet9ja
Goals Expected at Villa Park
With a very short price of 1.51 on GG, we prefer taking over 3.5 total goals at odds of 2.16. Across all competitions, Villa have seen over 3.5 total goals in six of their last eight home matches. Emery’s defence has been conceding chances, but their attack has still been scoring freely.
Goals have been flying in during Brentford’s away matches. Going over 2.5 total goals has been the norm in 2024. We are just pushing that up to another goal for this wager, which can be attributed to the firepower in Villa’s forward line.
Villa have seen over 2.5 total goals in 14 of their 18 wins this season. With how Brentford have been defending, we are confident that over 3.5 has value, even with a relatively short price. This should be a fun one for the neutrals.
Bet 4: Over 3.5 total goals @ 2.16 Bet9ja
