3 months ago
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Bitcoin remains volatile at spot rates. Despite the spectacular recovery yesterday, August 1, the downtrend remains, at least for now. Specifically, looking at the candlestick arrangement in the daily chart, there could be more growth once prices break $70,000.
Before then, traders are closely monitoring price action aware that there could be more losses, pushing the coin below $60,000. Amid this, some analysts are bullish in the long term, ignoring short-term price volatility.
Bitcoin Remains Bullish Despite Recent Price Drops
In a post on X, Willy Woo, an on-chain analyst, said that though bears might succeed in the short to medium term, unwinding gains and progress made in the first half of the year, the path of least resistance in the long term remains northward.
As on-chain data reveals increased movement among long-term holders (LTHs), shifting coins to top exchanges could heap more pressure on prices. Even so, Woo thinks that in the years to come, Bitcoin could range between $700,000 in the lower level and as high as $24 million, assuming it finds maximum adoption.
The analyst said this bullish prediction is primarily based on the bullish assumption that Bitcoin would capture anywhere between 3% and 100% of the global wealth, which stands at over $500 trillion. Woo says the lower limit, 3%, is the upper bound of the recommended exposure laid out by Fidelity for institutions seeking to invest in the world’s most valuable coin.
Bitcoin adoption curve | Source: @woonomic via X
If most institutions allocate just 3% of their portfolio to Bitcoin via derivatives as spot ETFs, the probability of the coin soaring to $700,000 will be high. On the other hand, assuming everyone chooses to move their wealth to Bitcoin, divesting from the current traditional portfolios and choosing BTC, then the coin will explode to as high as $24 million. This assumption is, even according to Woo, improbable but cannot be discounted.
BTC Is Transitioning, Spot ETFs Crucial For Growth
Woo, in the post on X, said at spot rates, Bitcoin is in a transition. Looking at adoption charts, the coin is moving from the early to late majority adoption. Though in the nascent stages, a successful, hitch-free evolution will be crucial in driving prices even higher.
The key driver and catalyst of adoption in this vital stage will be the adoption of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Since the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved this derivative product, one analyst has picked a direct correlation between bullish swings and inflows into spot ETFs. For this reason, how institutions perceive BTC and allocate funds will be critical.
Feature image from Canva, chart from TradingView
