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Anticipations for the upcoming Bitcoin halving event are high in the cryptocurrency community, with hopes of BTC witnessing a massive rally post-event. Nonetheless, several key factors should be considered prior to the halving.
Important Considerations Ahead Of The Impending Bitcoin Halving
Ali Martinez, a famous cryptocurrency analyst has revealed the major key points investors need to watch out for ahead of Bitcoin halving. The analyst shared his opinions on the subject through the social media platform X (formerly Twitter).
In the X post, Martinez pointed out just four important factors to consider as the event drew near. The upcoming halving, expected to take place by April this year, will be the fourth time it has been done.
One of the first and key areas highlighted by Martinez to spot is the post-Bitcoin halving corrections. Martinez stated that within a month following the 2020 and 2026 halvings, BTC saw substantial corrections, which preceded this price surge.
BTC halving historical patterns | Source: Ali Martinez on X
He explained that within a month after the 2016 event, the price of Bitcoin fell by 30%. He also said a similar scenario played out in the 2020 halving, which saw price plummet about 7%.
The Bitcoin halving has always been viewed as a bullish development that leads to a significant rise in the price of BTC. This is primarily due to the fact that as demand increases, the quantity of fresh BTC coming into the market declines.
For the second key point to look out for, Martinez has underscored massive post-halving rallies. According to him, there is typically a sharp increase in the price of Bitcoin after the post-halving drop.
In particular, the expert asserted that after the halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020, the price of Bitcoin surged by 11,000%, 2,850%, and 700%, respectively. Due to this, many experts anticipate that BTC’s price will reach a new all-time high after the event is concluded.
Significant Change In The Market
Martinez’s third crucial aspect to consider is the bull market durations. As is widely known, every previous halving event often ushers in a bull market.
He then shared a calculative time of how long the market rallied during all the previous halving. Martinez stated that the 2012, 2016, and 2020 bull market lasted for 365 days, 518 days, and 549 days, respectively.
Meanwhile, the last part pointed out by the expert is the next market top. He believes that Bitcoin will get to a new peak by April or October 2025. Martinez anticipates this to take place if only the upcoming event follows historical patterns. So, he has urged the crypto community to be vigilant and observe these patterns.
As of now, BTC is trading a little above $42,000, showing a decrease of almost 2% in the past 24 hours. Its trading volume has increased by 14% today, while its market cap is down by 1.90%.
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
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