2 weeks ago
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Ethereum has finally surged after breaking through a critical resistance level that had kept the price subdued since early August. This move has shifted market sentiment, as many investors and analysts previously doubted ETH’s potential in the current cycle, expecting it to lag behind. However, Ethereum’s recent strength is starting to reshape these perspectives.
Prominent analyst and investor Ali Martinez recently shared insights indicating that while Ethereum’s momentum is building, the much-anticipated “Altseason” hasn’t arrived just yet.
According to Martinez, this stage of the cycle typically sees Bitcoin outperforming Ethereum and other altcoins—a common pattern as BTC often leads market rallies. This dynamic could provide a strategic opportunity for investors looking to enter ETH and other altcoins before the broader market euphoria begins.
As Ethereum gains traction, market participants are keeping an eye on further confirmations of its breakout, with many speculating that once Bitcoin’s lead cools, capital may flow more aggressively into altcoins.
Ethereum Waking Up
Ethereum is making a remarkable comeback, surging over 22% in just two days of strong upward momentum. While this performance is impressive, key data highlights that Bitcoin is still leading the market, slightly overshadowing Ethereum’s gains. For savvy investors, this could present a prime opportunity to start accumulating Ethereum and select altcoins before they potentially rally in the next phase of the cycle.
Ali Martinez, a prominent analyst, recently shared a Glassnode chart revealing insights on the “Bitcoin Altseason Indicator.” This tool compares net capital flows between Bitcoin and Ethereum, showing that while Ethereum is on the rise, Bitcoin’s net capital change is currently outpacing it.
Ethereum is still underperforming against BTC | Source: Ali Martinez on X Data from Glassnode
This trend confirms that Altseason—where altcoins outperform Bitcoin—hasn’t begun yet. Martinez points out that such dynamics are typical for this stage, with Bitcoin usually leading the initial rally and Ethereum following shortly after.
Historically, Altseason often arrives once Bitcoin’s price momentum stabilizes, as capital flows from Bitcoin into high-potential altcoins. Many seasoned investors recognize this part of the cycle as an ideal time to accumulate ETH and strong altcoins at attractive prices before the broader market shifts its focus.
In the coming weeks, the relationship between BTC and ETH performance will be closely watched, potentially setting up a shift in market sentiment and capital distribution.
ETH Technical View
Ethereum recently surged past a critical resistance at $2,820, breaking above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and touching the 200-day moving average (MA) at $2,955. This marks a significant bullish move, as ETH had been trading below these levels since early August, and reclaiming these indicators is seen as a positive signal for further gains.
ETH testing the 200-day MA | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
For the bullish momentum to continue, ETH must break above and sustain itself above the daily MA at $2,955, solidifying this breakout as a foundation for the next phase of the uptrend. However, some analysts suggest that a period of consolidation just below the 200 MA could be beneficial, allowing ETH to gather strength for a more sustained rally. This pause could temper the rising euphoria and avoid overextension in the short term.
As the market sentiment turns increasingly optimistic, many investors are eyeing this level closely. Holding above these critical indicators would give bulls more control, potentially setting Ethereum up for a more robust recovery as it targets new highs.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
