New Hampshire Primary: Networks Digest Batch Of Exit Poll Data For Clues On Donald Trump Vs. Nikki Haley Race

The release of a batch of New Hampshire exit poll data had network pundits trying to discern the dynamics of this evening’s primary, in particular figures that showed that 53% of the electorate was not Republican.

The data showed that 45% identified as independents and 8% as Democrats, compared to a non-Republican share of 45% in 2016, per NBC News’ Steve Kornacki.

“If this is what this electorate looks like, it’s 53% not Republican,” said NBC News’ Chuck Todd on NBC News Now. “You can already hear what MAGA world is going to say — ‘Democrats and independents are invading our primary.’ But my goodness, less than 50% Republican for Trump…this is a flashing yellow sign…Put it this way. This is not a race we are calling at poll close.”

A CNN exit poll showed that 64% answered “No” to the question, “Are you a part of the MAGA movement?” Another question: “Do you think Joe Biden legitimately won the 2020 election?” That was split 49%-49%.

The exit poll numbers change as more data comes in during the evening. Some polls close at 7 p.m. ET and some at 8 p.m.

“This EARLY round exit is a tell, if it holds. Means lots of non-base R voters showed up,” wrote political analyst Mike Murphy. “Good sign for Haley. I’m pretty dubious it’ll be enough for to win but should tighten things up. Potentially a lot.”

Haley supporters began gathering at a conference center in Concord, NH, where her campaign had set up a lectern in front of a large video screen showing Fox News coverage, and hung a banner with the slogan, “Strong & Proud.”

Trump’s supporters are gathering about 35 miles to the south, at the Sheraton in Nashua, NH.