Premier League top six race – These three Saturday results see big shift from bookies


 
 
 
 
 
 

The race for Premier League top six is on.

Three weeks today we reach the end of this 2023/24 season.

A very eventful Saturday, especially at St James’ Park.

These were the results yesterday in the Premier League.

West Ham 2 Liverpool 2

Fulham 1 Crystal Palace 1

Man U 1 Burnley 1

Newcastle United 5 Sheffield United 1

Wolves 2 Luton 1

Everton 1 Brentford 0

Aston Villa 2 Chelsea 2

(Playing today – Bournemouth v Brighton, Tottenham v Arsenal, Forest v Man City)

This is the updated Premier League table on Sunday (28 April 2024) morning:

The results yesterday have seen things significantly change in the betting for who will get a top six spot.

Listed below are the updated general Premier League odds now available from the various bookies to finish top six this 2023/24 season (in brackets what the odds were before Saturday’s matches):

11/10 Newcastle United (2/1)

6/4 Man U (4/6)

5/1 Chelsea (5/1)

100/1 Brighton (66/1)

475/1 West Ham (500/1)

So Newcastle United replacing Man U as favourites in the eyes of bookies and punters, with Chelsea next best if the top two both falter.

Newcastle United have got one less point than Man U but have a massively better goal difference and as you can see below, a far kinder remaining schedule of matches, at least on paper.

These are all the remaining fixtures for the three clubs fighting for Premier League top six:

Thursday 2 May – Chelsea v Tottenham

Saturday 4 May – Burnley v Newcastle

Sunday 5 May – Chelsea v West Ham

Monday 6 May – Crystal Palace v Man U

Saturday 11 May – Newcastle v Brighton, Forest v Chelsea

Sunday 12 May – Man U v Arsenal

Wednesday 15 May – Man U v Newcastle, Brighton v Chelsea

Sunday 19 May – Brentford v Newcastle, Brighton v Man U, Chelsea v Bournemouth

It is a simple equation, if Newcastle United win their last four matches, they are guaranteed sixth place.

If Eddie Howe’s team draw against Man U and win the other three, then I think that would also ensure sixth place, as I can’t see Man U winning all of their other three games and even if Chelsea won all their five, NUFC would surely have a better goal difference.

Whilst if Newcastle United could beat Man U and win at least two of the other three, then that would also I believe give us sixth. As Chelsea aren’t winning all of their last five matches.